State nomination and visa processing
October visa update: ACT's first-round plans, NT intake restrictions and 186/191 processing batches
ACT's announcement is a forecast, the NT notice limits new applications, and Home Affairs publishes processing batches and historical statistics. Each matters for planning, but none guarantees an invitation or approval date.
For applicants preparing a state nomination or waiting for a visa decision, three separate questions matter: is the program accepting new applications, when might invitations occur, and which processing group applies to the visa? This update brings together official information checked on 5 October 2026. The figures are what was visible on the official sources at that check, not a claim that every change occurred today.

ACT: a tentative first round in the week of 12 October, for subclass 190 only
ACT's tentative 2026–27 schedule places its first round in the week commencing 12 October 2026 and specifies subclass 190 only. That is not a guaranteed invitation date of 12 October, an invitation result, or a published minimum Matrix score. The annual allocation remains unconfirmed and the schedule can change.
| Item | Official position at the check |
|---|---|
| First round | Tentatively in the week commencing 12 October 2026 |
| First-round subclass | 190 only; do not assume a simultaneous 491 round |
| Later tentative dates | 25 January, 22 March and 24 May 2027 |
| Allocation, invitation numbers and cut-offs | Annual allocation unconfirmed; a forecast is not a round result |
Preparation should focus on whether Matrix claims match supporting evidence and whether residence, employment, English and skills-assessment requirements continue to be met. Canberra Matrix and federal EOI points are different systems. Meeting minimum eligibility does not guarantee selection. Actual numbers, applicant groups and scores should be reviewed when official results are published.
NT: new nomination applications limited to specified onshore exceptions
The NT Government says it has received sufficient applications for 2026–27. New applications are accepted only by exception from onshore applicants meeting the full NT Graduate or NT Resident eligibility criteria and at least one deadline below. Sufficient applications received does not mean every annual nomination place has already been approved.
| Exception | Deadline | Additional check |
|---|---|---|
| Substantive visa expiry | On or before 30 September 2027 | The applicant must also be ineligible for subclass 485 |
| Turning 45 | On or before 30 September 2027 | This results in loss of GSM eligibility; full NT pathway criteria still apply |
| Birthday reduces 491 points below 65 | On or before 30 September 2027 | Calculate the actual post-birthday score; not every age-related reduction qualifies |
The exception does not include offshore applicants. An occupation's appearance on a list is not evidence that new applications are currently accepted. Existing applicants should check their own case status rather than treating an intake restriction as cancellation of all pending cases. MigrationNT cannot guarantee nomination before visa deadlines; applicants remain responsible for lawful status.
186 and 191: which lodgement batches are currently being processed
Home Affairs' subclass 186 notice lists lodgement months under MD122. Its subclass 191 Regional Provisional page describes applications lodged in or before the listed months. These are current workload indicators, not confirmation that every earlier case is finished or that a case in the listed month will shortly be granted.
| Visa and group | Published lodgement month |
|---|---|
| 186: listed priority sectors / law enforcement and defence interests | July 2025 |
| 186: onshore at lodgement | March 2025 |
| 186: primary applicant offshore, application never combined with another person's | July 2024 |
| 186: other offshore applications | July 2024 |
| 191 Regional Provisional: primary applicant onshore at lodgement | February 2026 or earlier |
| 191 Regional Provisional: primary applicant offshore, application never combined with another person's | March 2026 or earlier |
| 191 Regional Provisional: other offshore applications | January 2026 or earlier |
The 186 notice names construction, healthcare, teaching, agriculture, aquaculture, fishing and resources, together with Australian law enforcement and defence interests. Whether a case belongs in a priority group requires the applicable direction and full facts, not a job title alone. Home Affairs warns that published allocation dates and timeframes can fluctuate as cases transition to the new priorities, with temporary increases possible.
Processing-time statistics: 50% and 90% are not promised deadlines
The global processing guide reports historical processing durations for recently decided applications. Its 50% and 90% values describe the proportions processed within those periods, not an applicant's approval probability or remaining wait. A complete comparable previous capture was unavailable for this check, so the table reports current values without claiming acceleration or slowdown.
| Visa / stream | 50% processed | 90% processed |
|---|---|---|
| 189 Points-tested | 61 days | 8 months |
| 190 | 4 months | 16 months |
| 186 Direct Entry | 21 months | 25 months |
| 186 Temporary Residence Transition | 21 months | 25 months |
| 482 Skills in Demand — Core Skills | 4 months | 9 months |
| 482 Skills in Demand — Specialist Skills | 37 days | 78 days |
| 407 Training | 12 months | 20 months |
| 485 Post-Vocational Education Work | 52 days | 5 months |
| 485 Post-Higher Education Work | 5 days | 55 days |
| 191 Regional Provisional | 8 months | 10 months |
Overall 186 statistics and the lodgement month for one priority group answer different questions and cannot be directly converted into each other. Document completeness, health and character checks, responses to requests, priorities and available places can affect individual cases. One 485 stream's shorter reported duration must not be applied to another stream.
Planning: check access first, then lawful status during the wait
- For a new NT application, check onshore status, the full graduate/resident requirements and the deadline exception before assuming access.
- For ACT, keep Matrix claims supported and watch for actual official results rather than predicting a personal invitation from a tentative date.
- For a pending 186 or 191, identify the correct lodgement-location group and remain responsive to departmental requests.
- Before a current visa expires, review lawful-stay options; a nomination application, invitation forecast or processing statistic is not a status guarantee.
Questions and answers
Does ACT's forecast establish my invitation date?
No. It is a tentative window, not a round result. Eligibility, Matrix ranking and program settings still determine selection.
Does living in the NT with an expiring visa qualify me for the exception?
Not by itself. Full NT Graduate or NT Resident criteria apply; the visa-expiry exception also requires ineligibility for subclass 485. An accepted application does not guarantee timely nomination.
Is an earlier lodgement date proof something is wrong with my case?
No. A published batch is not a case-by-case completion list. Confirm your group, any outstanding requests and appropriate official enquiry options before drawing conclusions.
To discuss your circumstances, contact XIVisa on WeChat xivisa1 with your visa subclass and stream, lodgement date and location, current visa expiry, and relevant NT or ACT residence and work background. Do not post passports or other sensitive documents publicly. This is general information, not individual immigration advice or a promise of invitation, nomination or visa approval.
Sources checked
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